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Houthis Demand 51 Billion Dollars and Recognition From Saudi Arabia

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Saudi Arabia faces a major diplomatic and military challenge after Yemen's Houthi movement demanded $51 billion in compensation and formal recognition as Yemen's governing authority in exchange for ending attacks against the kingdom. The demands emerged during discussions aimed at stopping renewed hostilities, according to The Wall Street Journal.

The Houthis say the proposed payment would cover reconstruction expenses and damage caused by years of Saudi-led airstrikes and a prolonged blockade. Accepting their political demand would also require Riyadh to abandon its support for Yemen's internationally recognized government.

The negotiations have intensified as Houthi forces expand their territorial control, capture strategically important locations near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and move closer to Aden, the southern port city serving as the seat of Yemen's internationally recognized government.

According to India Today, Houthi forces have advanced to approximately 50 miles from Aden, creating additional pressure on the government supported by Saudi Arabia. The movement has also attacked oil tankers in the Red Sea and targeted infrastructure inside the kingdom.

The escalation has exposed the limitations of Saudi Arabia's military response. Repeated airstrikes have failed to stop the Houthi advances, while a substantial ground offensive could produce heavy Saudi casualties and generate domestic political opposition.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is reportedly reluctant to accept the Houthi conditions without improving the kingdom's military position. The Wall Street Journal reported that dozens of Saudi personnel have died during the conflict, although their casualties have not been publicly disclosed.

Saudi Arabia's economic ambitions have also increased the stakes. Repeated attacks on airports and energy installations threaten investor confidence, international connectivity and the kingdom's efforts to attract tourists and foreign investment under Vision 2030.

India Today reported that Houthi attacks intensified during October, targeting civilian airports and facilities associated with Saudi Aramco. Thousands of flights at King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh were canceled following repeated attacks.

Kristian Coates Ulrichsen, an expert at Rice University's Baker Institute, described the growing imbalance between the two sides' exposure to military and economic damage.

"The imbalance of risk between the Houthis and Saudi Arabia is even greater now than it was in the earlier period of conflict between 2015 and 2022, as the impact of the strikes on civilian and energy infrastructure undermines investor confidence," Kristian Coates Ulrichsen told The Wall Street Journal.

Saudi Arabia's diplomatic options remain complicated by uncertainty over military support from regional partners. The United Arab Emirates withdrew from the anti-Houthi campaign last December as disagreements with Riyadh over Yemen's political future deepened.

Saudi Arabia has also sought cooperation through the Mecca Joint Defence Alliance with Turkey and Pakistan, signed in August. The agreement establishes a mutual defense commitment, but it has not developed into a coordinated military campaign against the Houthis.

Turkey has not authorized combat operations, while Pakistan has declined to participate in offensive strikes inside Yemen. Egypt has offered another possible avenue after its parliament approved military support for Saudi Arabia in October, although President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi has limited the proposed role to defensive operations.

A separate diplomatic effort brought Saudi Defense Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman, Pakistan's Field Marshal Asim Munir and Turkish intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin to Tehran for meetings with President Masoud Pezeshkian and Supreme National Security Council Secretary Mohsen Rezaei.

Riyadh described the visit as an effort to reduce tensions and promote diplomatic solutions. Iranian state television said the discussions ended without an agreement securing an end to Houthi attacks.

The possibility of financial payments has also become part of the diplomatic dispute. A separate report by Israel Hayom, cited by Raksha Anirveda, claimed Saudi Arabia could offer $1 billion through Iran to secure an arrangement with the Houthis. However, the report relied on anonymous Gulf diplomatic sources, and a Saudi official did not confirm any transfer.

Saudi officials have also raised concerns about previously discussed arrangements involving public-sector salaries and reconstruction funding in Houthi-controlled areas. Riyadh has maintained that it will not provide funds before the Houthis return seized territory.

The Houthis' demands therefore extend beyond compensation for wartime destruction. Their insistence on formal recognition would fundamentally change the political balance in Yemen and Saudi Arabia's relationship with its southern neighbor.

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Daisy Floren

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