El Niño Reduces Canada Snowfall Outlook for Winter

El Niño is expected to reshape Canada’s winter weather pattern, with warmer temperatures and reduced snowfall potential across the country, according to The Weather Network. The forecast, published October 9, 2026, indicates the Pacific climate pattern could influence storm tracks and seasonal conditions through the winter. The Weather Network said strong El Niño events have historically pushed milder Pacific air across Canada, creating warmer-than-normal winter conditions.

This pattern is expected to continue, with above-seasonal temperatures likely to persist through much of the season. The forecast said an active storm track may develop farther south than during a typical winter, which could keep more significant weather systems away from many Canadian regions. Combined with warmer temperatures, this setup is expected to result in below-average snowfall overall.

According to The Weather Network, ski regions could face uneven impacts. Alpine areas may approach normal snowfall levels, while ski areas in Ontario and Quebec are expected to have a more difficult season.

The Weather Network noted that a warmer winter does not eliminate the possibility of snow across Canada. Short periods of intense winter weather, including major storms and cold snaps, can still occur during El Niño winters. The forecast also said warmer conditions can sometimes increase snowfall in specific areas when temperatures and storm paths align. A single major winter storm affecting a large population center could significantly influence how the season is remembered.