Dodgers Lead MLB Championship Series and World Series Projections

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay Rays lead projections for their respective Major League Baseball championship series, according to figures published by Covers.com on October 10, 2026. The Dodgers hold the strongest projected chances of winning the National League Championship Series and the World Series, while the Rays lead the American League Championship Series projections despite awaiting their opponent.

The Milwaukee Brewers, Dodgers and Rays have secured three of the four league championship series positions. The remaining American League spot will go to the winner of Game 5 between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for Saturday, according to the source.

Figures from Kalshi and Polymarket place the Dodgers ahead of the Brewers in the National League Championship Series. Kalshi gives Los Angeles a 61% chance of winning the NLCS, compared with 40% for Milwaukee. Polymarket assigns the Dodgers a 60% chance and the Brewers 40%.

The Dodgers and Brewers finished the regular season with the two best records in baseball. Milwaukee went 103-59, while Los Angeles finished 100-62. Both teams advanced after winning their respective division series 3-1, with the Brewers defeating the San Diego Padres and the Dodgers beating the Atlanta Braves.

Milwaukee won the regular-season series against Los Angeles 4-3. The Brewers lost two of three games played from May 22-24 but won three of four from August 13-16.

In the American League, the Rays lead projections even though their championship series opponent remains undecided. Kalshi assigns Tampa Bay a 63% chance of winning the ALCS, compared with 22% for the Guardians and 16% for the White Sox.

Polymarket gives the Rays a 65% chance of winning the American League pennant. The Guardians stand at 21%, while the White Sox have a 14% chance, according to the platform's figures cited by Covers.com.

Tampa Bay swept the New York Yankees to advance, outscoring them 10-5 across three games. The Rays also posted the American League's best regular-season record at 98-64. They won five of six regular-season games against Cleveland and four of six against Chicago.

Trading activity across the two platforms has also reached substantial levels. More than $25 million had been traded across the NLCS and ALCS winner markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, according to Covers.com.

The World Series markets showed the Dodgers as the leading contender on both platforms. Kalshi recorded $120.2 million in trading volume and assigned Los Angeles a 44% chance of winning the championship. The Brewers followed at 24%, the Rays at 22%, the Guardians at 6.3% and the White Sox at 4.5%.

Polymarket recorded $43.8 million in World Series trading volume. Its projections gave the Dodgers a 43% chance of winning the title, followed by the Brewers at 24%, the Rays at 23%, the Guardians at 6% and the White Sox at 4%, according to figures reported by Covers.com.

The combined trading volume across the two platforms' World Series markets had reached $164 million, as the remaining championship series matchups awaited completion of the postseason bracket.